Since 2012-13, Napoli have taken 1,076 Serie A points, against the 1,031.6 implied on average by closing odds: 44.4 points more than the market expected.
Season
Matches
Points
Implied by odds
Difference
Favourite
Over 2.5
Over 2.5 priced
Both teams scored
2026-27 · ongoing
7
10
11.3
−1.3
85.7%
42.9%
50.1%
42.9%
2025-26
38
76
67.9
+8.1
81.6%
52.6%
43.0%
47.4%
2024-25
38
82
71.4
+10.6
84.2%
44.7%
47.4%
42.1%
2023-24
38
53
68.2
−15.2
78.9%
55.3%
52.5%
57.9%
2022-23
38
90
75.5
+14.5
94.7%
50.0%
54.5%
42.1%
2021-22
38
79
71.0
+8.0
84.2%
52.6%
56.4%
50.0%
2020-21
38
77
72.2
+4.8
84.2%
55.3%
57.8%
55.3%
2019-20
38
62
71.9
−9.9
86.8%
57.9%
58.2%
68.4%
2018-19
38
79
77.4
+1.6
97.4%
65.8%
57.1%
57.9%
2017-18
38
91
85.3
+5.7
97.4%
55.3%
60.7%
44.7%
2016-17
38
86
80.6
+5.4
94.7%
71.1%
60.3%
63.2%
2015-16
38
82
80.8
+1.2
97.4%
60.5%
56.0%
52.6%
2014-15
38
63
72.1
−9.1
86.8%
60.5%
53.0%
60.5%
2013-14
38
78
69.6
+8.4
81.6%
50.0%
53.5%
50.0%
2012-13
38
78
67.7
+10.3
84.2%
55.3%
51.7%
55.3%
Implied points: for each match 3 × win probability + draw probability, from closing odds with the margin removed. «Favourite»: matches in which the odds made them more likely to win than the opponent. «Over 2.5 priced»: the average probability the odds gave to Over. Only matches with odds count. Results and odds: football-data.co.uk. These are measurements of the past, not predictions.