The Matchday
Premier League matchday 6 in numbers: form, head-to-heads and margins match by match
Ten matches from 10 to 12 October, as the league resumes after the break: how much each operator holds back, Liverpool-Manchester City, and head-to-heads that sometimes come from another era.
Published 3 October 2026
After the break, ten matches between Saturday 10 and Monday 12 October. For each we measured four things: position and points, recent form, head-to-head records from our archive, and how much each operator holds back on the full-time result. No tips and no prices in the text: they live in the table further down, which fills from the feed when you open the page.
How much the book holds back, operator by operator
The margin is what the operator holds back across the sum of the three outcomes: the only number that compares two books without depending on who is playing. Across these ten matches:
| Operator | Median margin | Lowest | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netwin | 5.01% | 4.81% | 5.64% |
| Betsson | 5.77% | 5.30% | 6.04% |
| Betflag | 6.98% | 6.63% | 7.35% |
Read on 3 October 2026 at 14:45 Italian time, across the ten matches of the round, all three columns from the same pass. Prices will still move: the odds table further down is the current one.
The order is the same on all ten matches: Netwin cheapest, then Betsson, then Betflag. The distances change, though: between dearest and cheapest they run from 1.44 points on Sunderland-Brighton to 2.46 on Manchester United-Tottenham. And on Hull-Everton Netwin and Betsson almost coincide, 5.64% against 5.66%.
The previous round, 18-20 September, with the margins measured then: Premier League, the round in numbers: form, head-to-heads and margins
Liverpool-Manchester City: the only perfect record
Manchester City have won all five matches: 15 points, top, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded. Liverpool are sixth on 9. The six most recent meetings, all Premier League since November 2023, split evenly: two wins each and two draws. City won the last two. On this match Betsson holds back less than anywhere else in the round, 5.30%.
Arsenal-Leeds: six out of six, all Premier League
Arsenal are second on 12 points, Leeds fifth on 9 with 3 goals conceded, the league's tightest defence alongside Everton. In the six most recent meetings, from December 2021 to January 2026 and all Premier League, Arsenal won every time. The archive holds 32 in all.
Manchester United-Tottenham: bottom of the table, and a record turned upside down
Tottenham are bottom with 2 points, United twelfth on 5. Yet in the six most recent meetings, since September 2024, Tottenham won four, one was drawn and United won one, 2-0 in February 2026. The six span three competitions: four Premier League, one Europa League and one League Cup. It is the most expensive match of the round on Betflag, 7.35%.
Two head-to-heads from another era
Coventry-Newcastle (Mon 12, 21:00): Coventry are eighteenth with 3 points and a single goal scored in five matches. Newcastle won all six meetings in the archive, but they run from September 1998 to February 2010, and the last two are Championship fixtures.
Hull-Everton (Sun 11, 15:00): eighth against seventh, 8 points against 9. The last meeting is an FA Cup tie, January 2022; the last league meeting is from March 2017. It is the most expensive match of the round on Netwin, 5.64%.
The other five, briefly
- Aston Villa-Brentford (Sat 10, 16:00) — Villa sixteenth on 4 points, Brentford fourth on 9. Six Premier League meetings since December 2023: three Villa wins, one draw, two for Brentford, who won the last two, both 1-0.
- Chelsea-Bournemouth (Sat 10, 16:00) — Chelsea have conceded 12 goals, the worst figure in the league. Six Premier League meetings since September 2023: four draws and two Chelsea wins. Lowest Netwin margin of the round, 4.81%.
- Ipswich-Fulham (Sat 10, 16:00) — Fulham are nineteenth with 2 points. Six meetings since 2017 across three competitions: two Premier League, two League Cup, two Championship. Fulham won four; the two draws are the two Premier League games. Lowest Betflag margin of the round, 6.63%.
- Sunderland-Brighton (Sat 10, 16:00) — Brighton are third on 10 points with 16 goals scored, the league's best attack. Four meetings: two Premier League, 0-0 in December 2025 and 0-1 in March 2026, and two Championship fixtures from the 2004-05 season.
- Crystal Palace-Nottingham Forest (Sun 11, 15:00) — five draws in the six most recent meetings, all Premier League since October 2023; Forest won the other, 1-0. Palace are fifteenth on 4 points, Forest thirteenth on 5.
This matchday's odds, right now
The odds for these ten matches, read from the official feeds right now. The margin column is Betsson's; the outcome-by-outcome comparison across operators is on the odds page.
No match from this competition is in the listing right now.
How to read these numbers
Five rounds are few: over five matches one rout moves goal averages a lot. Form looks at the last five Premier League matches, all from this season.
Head-to-head records come from the openfootball archive and cover every competition: on five of this round's ten matches the meetings quoted are not all Premier League, and in each case we said so. «The last six» means the six most recent the archive holds: there are 68 between Manchester United and Tottenham, 62 between Liverpool and Manchester City.
What the Premier League costs against the other competitions: How much the margin changes between leagues
There are no line-ups, injuries or suspensions here, because we don't have them. The full comparison across operators is on the odds page; standings, scorers and form are in the statistics section.