The Matchday
Premier League matchday 9: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Ten matches from 31 October to 2 November: City and Arsenal on 21 points, Brighton on 23 goals, and margins compared across operators.
Published 30 October 2026
Ten matches from 31 October to 2 November, with Manchester City and Arsenal level on 21 points after eight games. City host Brighton, third on 16; Arsenal visit Liverpool, fourth on 15. The round's central figures are Brighton's 23 goals scored and Arsenal's 5 conceded.
How margins compare, operator by operator
The margin measures the loading built into prices across the three outcomes, not guaranteed revenue. Medians describe the round; the minimum and maximum show how the figure varies between matches for each operator.
| Operator | Matches | Median margin | Lowest | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netwin | 10 | 4.97% | 4.62% | 5.61% |
| Betsson | 10 | 5.82% | 5.34% | 6.09% |
| Betflag | 10 | 5.96% | 5.79% | 6.45% |
| bwin | 10 | 7.53% | 7.33% | 8.08% |
Recorded on 30 October 2026 at 18:10, Italian time. All operators cover the 10 matches: the comparison uses the same set of fixtures, with prices for all three outcomes available from each.
Compared with Betsson, Betflag and bwin, Netwin records the lowest margin on all 10 matches. The gap between the highest and lowest margin ranges from 1.98 percentage points on AFC Bournemouth-Leeds United to 3.24 on Newcastle United-Everton. These differences come from the same reading.
The previous round, with the figures recorded then: Premier League matchday 8: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Manchester City-Brighton: 20 goals against 23
Brighton have the round's highest-scoring attack with 23 goals; City have scored 20. They have conceded 7 and 9 respectively. Their form matches on points: 12 each over the last five games. The archive's six most recent meetings, all in the Premier League, produced two wins each and two draws. The latest was the 1-1 in January 2026.
Liverpool-Arsenal: the defence with 5 goals conceded
Arsenal have the round's tightest defence, conceding 5 goals against Liverpool's 8. They have collected 12 points over the last five games, Liverpool 10. Across the archive's six meetings in all competitions, the record is two Liverpool wins, three draws and one Arsenal win. The sample includes five Premier League games and one FA Cup tie: Liverpool's 0-2 win in January 2024.
Coventry-Sunderland and Hull-Ipswich: meetings in other divisions
Coventry City and Sunderland are nineteenth and twentieth, on 6 and 5 points. Over the last five games they have collected 6 and 1. The six meetings cited are all in the Championship: two Coventry wins, three draws and one Sunderland win. The most recent is from May 2025.
Hull City and Ipswich Town both have 10 points, in tenth and twelfth place; their form yields 3 points against 7. Across the six meetings in all competitions, Hull won once, one was drawn and Ipswich won four. These are four Championship games and two League One games: none in the Premier League.
The other six, briefly
- Chelsea-Manchester United — fifth and sixteenth, on 13 and 7 points. Over the last five games, 7 points against 3. The six Premier League meetings produced two Chelsea wins, one draw and three United wins.
- AFC Bournemouth-Leeds United — thirteenth on 9 points against seventh on 11; form yields 7 points against 6. Across the six meetings in all competitions, Bournemouth won once, two were drawn and Leeds won three. Four games were in the Premier League, two in the Championship.
- Brentford-Nottingham Forest — sixth on 11 points against eighteenth on 6; over the last five games, 6 points against 4. The six meetings, all in the Premier League, produced two Brentford wins, one draw and three Forest wins.
- Tottenham Hotspur-Crystal Palace — fourteenth on 9 points against seventeenth on 7. Palace have conceded 19 goals, the round's leakiest defence; Tottenham have conceded 10. Form yields 8 points against 4. The six Premier League meetings produced three wins each.
- Aston Villa-Fulham — ninth on 11 points against fifteenth on 8; over the last five games, 10 points against 8. Villa won five of the six Premier League meetings, Fulham one.
- Newcastle United-Everton — eighth on 11 points against eleventh on 10. Form yields 6 points against 5. The six Premier League meetings produced one Newcastle win, two draws and three Everton wins.
This matchday's odds, right now
Odds for the ten matches load from the feeds when the page opens, with the time they were read. The outcome-by-outcome comparison is on the odds page.
No match from this competition is in the listing right now.
How to read these numbers
Standings and form come from ESPN: eight games per team, with form covering the last five. Head-to-heads are the six most recent available in the openfootball archive, not the full history of each fixture. Margins come from official feeds via api.oddsonar.com. Standings and form are available in the statistics section.
Premier League margins compared with other leagues: How much the margin changes between leagues