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Premier League matchday 10: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Ten matches from 6 to 8 November: median margins from 4.79% to 7.37%, Arsenal on 24 points, and head-to-head records that also include the cup and Championship.
Published 6 November 2026
Ten matches from 6 to 8 November. Median margins range from Netwin's 4.79% to bwin's 7.37%. The widest gap between operators is on Fulham-Newcastle United: 3.29 percentage points. Arsenal lead the table on 24 points; Brighton have scored 24 goals.
How margins compare, operator by operator
The comparison covers the full-time result market: the margin is calculated from each operator's three prices. Every operator in the table covers all ten matches.
| Operator | Matches | Median margin | Lowest | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netwin | 10 | 4.79% | 4.6% | 5.06% |
| Betsson | 10 | 5.81% | 5.28% | 6.06% |
| Betflag | 10 | 6.29% | 5.93% | 6.85% |
| bwin | 10 | 7.37% | 5.7% | 8.08% |
Recorded on 6 November 2026 at 18:14, Italian time. Source: official operator feeds, via api.oddsonar.com. These margins belong to that snapshot; odds in the component below load from the feed when the page opens.
Netwin has the lowest margin across all ten comparable matches, with all three prices available from each operator. The gap ranges from 0.97 percentage points on Arsenal-Hull City to 3.29 on Fulham-Newcastle United: it measures the distance between the highest and lowest margins.
The previous round, with the figures and margins measured then: Premier League matchday 9: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Arsenal-Hull City: the round's tightest defence
Arsenal have 24 points and 5 goals conceded after nine games, the round's best defensive record. Hull have 11 points. Their last five matches yielded 12 and 3 points respectively. The six archived Premier League meetings show five Arsenal wins and a draw, but the latest dates back to 11 February 2017: a sample far removed from the current sides.
Fulham-Newcastle United: the widest gap between operators
Fulham have 9 points, Newcastle 11; their last five games yielded 8 and 6. Betsson and bwin record their highest margins of the round here, at 6.06% and 8.08% respectively. The six meetings across all competitions show three wins each: five Premier League games and one FA Cup tie.
Brighton-Brentford: 24 goals in nine games
Brighton have the round's best attack, with 24 goals and an average of 2.67 per game. They are third on 19 points; Brentford are sixth on 14. The six Premier League meetings show three Brighton wins, two draws and one Brentford win. Betflag's margin is its highest of the round, at 6.85%.
The other seven, briefly
- Everton-Coventry City — 13 points against 9; over the last five games, 7 against 9. The six Premier League meetings show two wins each and two draws, but the latest in the archive is from 20 January 2001: a distant historical reference.
- Leeds United-Tottenham Hotspur — 11 points against 12. Form over the last five games shows 3 points for Leeds and 10 for Tottenham. The six Premier League meetings produced five Tottenham wins and a draw.
- Nottingham Forest-Manchester City — Forest have 6 points, City 21. Their last five games yielded 1 and 9 points. The six meetings across all competitions include an FA Cup tie: four City wins, one Forest win and a draw.
- Crystal Palace-Liverpool — Palace have the round's leakiest defence, with 21 goals conceded, and 7 points; Liverpool have 15. The six Premier League meetings show two Palace wins, three Liverpool wins and a draw.
- Ipswich Town-AFC Bournemouth — both have scored 14 goals, with 11 and 12 points respectively. The six meetings across all competitions include four Championship games and two Premier League games: one win each and four draws.
- Sunderland-Chelsea — Sunderland are bottom on 5 points, Chelsea fourth on 16. The six Premier League meetings show three wins each. Netwin records its highest margin of the round here, at 5.06%.
- Manchester United-Aston Villa — over the last five games, United have 3 points against Villa's 11. The six Premier League meetings show four United wins, one Villa win and a draw. Netwin and Betsson record their lowest margins here: 4.6% and 5.28%.
This matchday's odds, right now
Odds for the ten matches, loaded from official feeds when the page opens, alongside the time they were read. The outcome-by-outcome comparison between operators is on the odds page.
No match from this competition is in the listing right now.
How to read these numbers
Standings and form come from ESPN: the teams have played nine games, while form covers the last five. Head-to-heads come from the openfootball archive: the six most recent available for each pairing, not their entire history. The Fulham-Newcastle, Forest-City and Ipswich-Bournemouth samples mix competitions; those for Everton-Coventry and Arsenal-Hull end many years ago.
How margins differ between the Premier League and other leagues: How much the margin changes between leagues
Keep reading
- Premier League matchday 8: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Ten matches from 23 to 25 October: Manchester City on 21 points, Brighton on 23 goals and margins compared, with head-to-head records that also include the Championship.
- Premier League matchday 7: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Ten matches from 17 to 19 October: City lead on 18 points, Brighton have scored 18 goals, and operator margins are compared. Fulham-Hull's archived meetings come from the cup and Championship.
- What the bookmaker's margin is, and how to measure it on a 1X2
The margin is the distance between published odds and real probabilities. How to work it out in three steps, and why it varies by league, market and operator.