Formula 1, the São Paulo Grand Prix in numbers: a 119-point lead, 100 points still available

The São Paulo Grand Prix takes place on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 Italian time, round 20 of the season's 23; qualifying is on Saturday 7 November at 19:00, also Italian time. We read it through the standings, the season so far, past editions at the circuit and the available market. No predictions and no odds in the text.

The standings and the points left

The standings are updated through the Mexico City Grand Prix. Antonelli leads Verstappen by 119 points. Including São Paulo, 4 Grands Prix remain with 100 points available; after this race, 75 remain. Under the available calendar, every other driver is already out of the title race. This count applies to the OpenF1 calendar as read, which lists no sprints in the remaining Grands Prix.

The season so far

19 races run, 6 different winners. Antonelli has 9 wins and 16 podiums; Russell and Verstappen have 3 wins each, Norris 2, Hamilton and Leclerc 1 each. By team, Mercedes has won 12 races, Red Bull Racing 3, Ferrari and McLaren 2 each.

Mercedes leads the constructors' standings with 630 points, followed by Ferrari on 504, Red Bull Racing on 382, McLaren on 365 and Racing Bulls on 108.

13 of 19 races were won by the driver starting from pole. Antonelli has started from pole 7 times, Russell 5, Norris 3, Verstappen 2, Gasly and Hamilton 1 each.

The circuit

In 2024 Verstappen won from grid position 17; in 2023 and 2025 the winner started from pole. These are only a few editions: they describe past results, do not establish a circuit trend and do not indicate how this race will finish.

What the bookmaker keeps

The race-winner market is not yet priced. The available measurement concerns Betsson's drivers' championship market: a margin of 19.84% across 20 outcomes. A margin for the winner of the São Paulo Grand Prix is therefore unavailable.

The split between the first eight and the others is not reported, so we cannot say where the margin is concentrated. In the Mexico City article we measured the race-winner market; the drivers' championship figure concerns a different market and does not allow a like-for-like comparison.

Betsson data read on Friday 6 November 2026 at 18:14 Italian time. Of the feeds we read, only Betsson prices motorsport, so there is no comparison between operators.

How we calculated it

Standings, the calendar and season results come from OpenF1, through the site's APIs identified in the dossier. For poles, we use the starting position on the race grid recorded in the classification. For the circuit, we use the editions collected in the dossier. The market figure comes from the Betsson antepost feed. The margin is the part above 100% of the sum of implied probabilities derived from the odds: it describes the price list, not actual revenue.

The limits remain explicit: the OpenF1 calendar lists no sprints in the remaining Grands Prix; if one is added, the points available change, with +8 per sprint. The race-winner market is missing. The split of the margin between the first eight and the others is not provided.

The previous Grand Prix: the standings and calculations before Mexico City. Formula 1, the Mexico City Grand Prix in numbers: Antonelli can clinch the title, and what the bookmaker keeps

How the margin is measured in Formula 1: the Singapore Grand Prix case. Formula 1, how much the bookmaker keeps: the Singapore Grand Prix measured