Formula 1, the United States Grand Prix in numbers: the standings, Austin and what the bookmaker keeps

On Sunday 25 October at 21:00 Italian time the United States Grand Prix is held in Austin: the eighteenth of the season's twenty-three. We read it through three measurements — the standings and the points still available, the three Austin editions our source keeps, and what the bookmaker keeps on the race winner. No predictions and no odds in the text.

The standings and the points left

Drivers' standings after the Singapore Grand Prix. Including Austin, six Grands Prix remain: 150 points for a driver who won them all, so all six drivers in the table are still in it on arithmetic. After Sunday the points available drop to 125.

This is a condition, not a prediction: if at the end of the race the gap between Antonelli and a chaser is more than 125 points, that chaser can no longer catch him. Against Russell, Antonelli would need to outscore him by 24 points on Sunday; against Leclerc, who is exactly 125 behind today, outscoring him by one is enough. The count holds for today's calendar, which lists no sprints in the six remaining Grands Prix: every sprint added would put another 8 points on the table.

The season so far

Seventeen races run, six different winners. Antonelli has won 8 and stood on the podium 14 times; Russell has 3 wins, Norris and Verstappen 2, Hamilton and Leclerc one. Mercedes has won 11 races out of 17.

The figure that weighs most on the weekend is another one: 12 of 17 races were won from pole. The last two, on 4 October and in Singapore, went to Verstappen, who started first in both.

Austin, the three editions we have

Across these three editions pole turned into victory once, in 2025; in 2023 the winner started sixth. Three races are few, and we say so: this describes what happened, not a trend of the circuit. And they were different races from Sunday's — 2023 and 2024 were sprint weekends, and in 2023 our source's classification leaves Hamilton and Leclerc without a position although they reached the finish.

Our Formula 1 archive starts in 2023, because that is where the source starts: that is why there are three editions and no more.

What the bookmaker keeps

On the «race winner» market Betsson keeps 20.46%, across 22 drivers. In Singapore, six days ago, the same market kept 21.0%: two readings, two close numbers, and more are needed before calling it the typical Formula 1 margin.

As in Singapore, the margin is not on the outsiders: the first eight on the list add up to 117.66 points of implied probability, the other fourteen together 2.8. For comparison, on the Drivers' Championship winner — six outcomes — the same operator keeps 5.94%.

Betsson odds read on 16 October 2026 at 12:43 Italian time, nine days before the race: prices move until the start, and they move more after Saturday's qualifying. Among the feeds we read only Betsson prices motorsport, so there is no comparison between operators here.

How we calculated it

Standings, results and starting positions come from OpenF1; the starting position is the race grid, not the sprint's. For the margin we turn each price into an implied probability (1 divided by the price) and add them up: in the winner market only one outcome pays, so whatever exceeds 100% is margin.

The same measurement in Singapore, and why the margin sits on the front of the list: Formula 1, how much the bookmaker keeps: the Singapore Grand Prix measured

The margin calculation in full: What the bookmaker's margin is, and how to measure it on a 1X2