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Bundesliga matchday 9: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Nine matches from 6 to 8 November: Bayern and Dortmund on 18 points, comparable margins for eight fixtures, and head-to-heads where available, with dates and competitions attached.
Published 6 November 2026
Nine matches from 6 to 8 November, with Bayern and Dortmund level on 18 points. Operators' median margins range from 4.97% to 7.15%, but cover eight fixtures: the dossier has no market for Cologne-Leverkusen. Standings and form cover every match; head-to-heads are available for eight fixtures.
How much the margin adds, operator by operator
The margin measures the cost built into the prices of the three outcomes. These are the figures measured across the available markets:
| Operator | Matches | Median margin | Lowest | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netwin | 8 of 9 | 4.97% | 4.56% | 5.23% |
| Betflag | 8 of 9 | 6.23% | 5.87% | 6.54% |
| Betsson | 8 of 9 | 6.67% | 6.32% | 6.93% |
| bwin | 8 of 9 | 7.15% | 6.11% | 7.73% |
Read on 6 November 2026 at 18:14, Italian time. Cologne-Leverkusen is missing for every operator. This table captures that measurement; the odds in the component below come from the feed when the page opens.
The comparison covers only the eight matches with prices for all three outcomes from all four operators. Netwin has the lowest margin on all eight. The gap between the highest and lowest margins runs from 1.59 percentage points on Hoffenheim-Schalke to 2.88 on Paderborn-Frankfurt.
The previous Bundesliga preview, with the margins measured then: Bundesliga matchday 7: what do form, head-to-heads and margins tell us?
Dortmund and Bayern: level on points, different numbers
Dortmund-Elversberg: Borussia have conceded the fewest goals among this round's teams, with 6 in eight matches. They took 9 points from their last five, against Elversberg's 7. We do not cite head-to-heads: our archive has none. Netwin records its highest margin of the round here, 5.23%.
Mainz-Bayern: Bayern have this round's highest-scoring attack, with 27 goals in eight matches; Mainz have 10 points. Form over the last five gives Bayern 11 points and Mainz 6. Across the six available meetings in all competitions, Bayern won four and Mainz two; one was a DFB Pokal tie. The latest dates from March 2024. bwin has its lowest margin here, 6.11%.
Paderborn-Frankfurt: the widest gap between operators
Paderborn have 9 points, Eintracht 11. The gap between operators is 2.88 percentage points; Netwin reaches its minimum, 4.56%. The four head-to-heads are all Bundesliga matches, with two wins each. The latest is from June 2020, before 2024: this record describes a sample far removed from the current round.
Hamburg-Gladbach: Borussia have conceded 22 goals
Gladbach are bottom on 4 points and have the leakiest defence among this round's teams, with 22 goals conceded. Hamburg took 9 points from their last five, Borussia 4. Both recorded meetings finished 0-0, filed under the name “1. Fußball-Bundesliga”. Betflag has its lowest margin here, 5.87%, and bwin its highest, 7.73%.
The other five, briefly
- Leipzig-Augsburg — 15 points against 9; over the last five, 9 against 2. The six Bundesliga meetings produced four Leipzig wins and two draws.
- Stuttgart-Werder — 9 points against 15. Werder took 11 points from their last five, Stuttgart 6. Six Bundesliga meetings: two wins each and two draws. Betsson records its maximum here, 6.93%.
- Cologne-Leverkusen — Cologne have 9 points, Bayer 13. Across the six meetings in all competitions, Leverkusen won five and Cologne one; one was a DFB Pokal tie. Odds and margins are unavailable in the dossier.
- Freiburg-Union Berlin — Freiburg are third on 16 points, Union have 7. The six available meetings produced three Union wins and three draws; archive labels include “Bundesliga” and “1. Fußball-Bundesliga”.
- Hoffenheim-Schalke — 9 points against 6; over the last five, 6 against 2. The six meetings in all competitions produced four Hoffenheim wins, a draw and a Schalke win; they include a DFB Pokal tie. The latest is from April 2023, before 2024. Betsson has its minimum here, 6.32%, and Betflag its maximum, 6.54%.
This matchday's odds, right now
Available odds for these matches come from the official feeds, with the time they were read. The outcome-by-outcome comparison across operators is on the odds page.
No match from this competition is in the listing right now.
How to read these numbers
Standings and form come from ESPN; form covers the last five matches. Head-to-heads come from the openfootball archive: those cited are the latest available, rather than a complete history of meetings. Margins come from operators' official feeds through OddSonar. Standings and form are in the statistics section.
How margins change across competitions: How much the margin changes between leagues
Keep reading
- Bundesliga matchday 6: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Nine matches from 16 to 18 October: Freiburg and Dortmund on 13 points, Bayern on 16 goals and comparable margins across eight fixtures.
- Bundesliga matchday 5 in numbers: form, head-to-heads and margins match by match
Nine matches from 9 to 11 October, as the league resumes after the break: Dortmund with a perfect record, Mönchengladbach on zero, and four matches the archive can say nothing about, for different reasons.
- What the bookmaker's margin is, and how to measure it on a 1X2
The margin is the distance between published odds and real probabilities. How to work it out in three steps, and why it varies by league, market and operator.