The Matchday
Bundesliga matchday 7: what do form, head-to-heads and margins tell us?
Nine matches from 23 to 25 October: Bayern and Dortmund on 14 points, Gladbach still on zero, and comparable margins across eight fixtures.
Published 19 October 2026
Nine matches from 23 to 25 October. Bayern and Dortmund are on 14 points: Bayern have scored 22 goals, Dortmund have conceded 4. Freiburg and Leverkusen follow on 13. For each fixture we look at the table, form and available head-to-head records; the margin comparison covers eight matches because the Cologne-Schalke market is missing.
How much the book holds back, operator by operator
The table shows the median margin and the extremes on the full-time result market. The matches column gives each operator's coverage of the round.
| Operator | Matches | Median margin | Lowest | Highest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netwin | 8 of 9 | 4.85% | 4.34% | 5.06% |
| Betsson | 8 of 9 | 6.61% | 6.4% | 6.79% |
| Betflag | 8 of 9 | 7% | 6.67% | 7.42% |
| bwin | 8 of 9 | 7.14% | 6.73% | 7.82% |
Read on 19 October 2026 at 20:45, Italian time. The comparison covers the same eight matches, with prices for all three outcomes available from each of the four operators.
Netwin records the lowest margin against Betsson, Betflag and bwin on all eight comparable matches. The gap between the highest and lowest margin runs from 1.79 percentage points on Freiburg-Bayern to 3.48 on Hoffenheim-Leverkusen. On the latter, Netwin is at 4.34% and bwin at 7.82%.
The previous round, with the figures and margins measured then: Bundesliga matchday 6: what do form, head-to-heads and margins show?
Freiburg-Bayern: 22 goals for the most prolific attack
Bayern are first on 14 points, Freiburg third on 13. Bayern's 22 goals in six matches are the highest attacking total among the teams in this round; Freiburg have scored 15. Across the last five, Bayern have 11 points and Freiburg 10. The six available meetings across all competitions produced four Bayern wins, a draw and a Freiburg win: the latter in the DFB Pokal in April 2023. The most recent in the archive is the 2-2 from March 2024.
Dortmund-Eintracht: the defence that has conceded least
Dortmund are second on 14 points and have conceded the fewest goals among the teams in this round, 4 against Eintracht's 16. They have collected 11 points from the last five matches, Eintracht 7. The six available meetings across all competitions produced four Dortmund wins, a draw and an Eintracht win. The sample includes the 2-4 in the DFB Pokal in October 2025.
Hoffenheim-Leverkusen: form and head-to-heads
Leverkusen are fourth on 13 points, Hoffenheim fourteenth on 6. Leverkusen have collected 13 points from the last five matches, Hoffenheim 6. The six available meetings are all Bundesliga, from August 2022 to January 2026: three wins each.
Stuttgart-Gladbach: zero points and 20 goals conceded
Gladbach are bottom on 0 points and have conceded the most goals among the teams in this round, 20 in six matches; they have lost all of their last five. Stuttgart are thirteenth on 6 points. The six available meetings produced four Stuttgart wins and two Gladbach wins: all are top-flight fixtures, recorded under different competition names in the archive.
The other five, briefly
- Augsburg-Union Berlin — tenth against seventeenth, 8 points against 5. Across the last five they have collected 5 and 4 points respectively. The six available meetings are all top-flight fixtures despite different competition names in the archive: two wins each and two draws.
- Cologne-Schalke — 7 points against 5; across the last five, 4 against 5. The six available meetings across all competitions produced five Cologne wins and a draw. Two fixtures are from the second division, including the most recent, in February 2025. Odds and margins are unavailable in the dossier.
- Mainz-Werder Bremen — fifth on 10 points against eighth on 9. Both have collected 9 points from the last five. The six available Bundesliga meetings produced four Werder wins, a Mainz win and a draw.
- Leipzig-Elversberg — seventh on 9 points against sixth on 10. Across the last five, Leipzig have collected 6 points, Elversberg 7. The archive contains no meetings between these teams, so we do not cite any.
- Paderborn-Hamburg — sixteenth on 5 points against ninth on 9; across the last five, 4 against 9. All six available meetings are from the second division: three Paderborn wins, two draws and a Hamburg win. The most recent is from March 2025.
This matchday's odds, right now
Available prices for the round's fixtures load from the official feeds when the page opens, alongside the retrieval time. The comparison across operators is on the odds page.
No match from this competition is in the listing right now.
How to read these numbers
Standings and form come from ESPN, read on 19 October 2026; form covers the last five matches. Head-to-heads are the six most recent meetings available in the openfootball archive, where present, rather than the entire history of the fixture. Margins come from the operators' official feeds via api.oddsonar.com. Standings and form are available in the statistics section.
How Bundesliga margins compare with other leagues: How much the margin changes between leagues