The same operator holds back 5.70% in the Premier League, 10.59% in Ligue 1 and 9.88% across its whole listing. The league you pick matters more than the bookmaker you pick.
It wins on 0, 1 or 2 total goals. How often that actually happens, league by league, measured across 260,000 archived matches — and why a thirty-year average is the wrong number to look at.
Three matches in seven days should change everything. We looked for the effect in the archive three ways: the first finds nothing, the second finds the opposite, the third explains why.