Premier League, 18-20 September: form, head-to-heads and margins across ten matches

Ten matches between Friday 18 and Sunday 20 September: position and points, recent form, head-to-head records from our archive, and how much each operator holds back on the full-time result. No tips, and no price written into the text — the odds live in the table that fills from the feed when you open the page.

How much the book holds back, operator by operator

The margin is what the operator holds back across the sum of the three outcomes, and it is the only number that compares two books without depending on the match. Across these ten:

Read on 14 September 2026 at 16:21 Italian time, across the ten matches of the round, all three columns from the same pass. Netwin is the cheapest on nine matches; on the tenth, Bournemouth-Liverpool, Netwin and Betsson hold back exactly the same, 5.18% each.

The distance between dearest and cheapest runs from 1.95 points — on Fulham-Manchester United and on Manchester City-Sunderland, level with each other — to 3.18 points on Brentford-Chelsea.

Worth keeping in mind: across the eleven Premier League matches in the listing Betsson's median margin is 5.70%, across the eight Ligue 1 matches 10.59% — almost double, same operator and same reading. The table across seven competitions is in the piece on the margin between leagues.

Today's table won't be Saturday's

The positions and points quoted below are a snapshot taken on 14 September, and Leeds-Newcastle is played on that very day: two of the twenty sides we discuss take the field before the round we're previewing, and their figures will change.

Two sides have yet to score

Tottenham are on zero goals across four rounds. The match records we use to compute form read: 0-0 against Everton, 0-0 at Nottingham Forest, 0-2 against Newcastle, 0-3 at Brentford. Two points, seventeenth place, and the only win in their form sequence is dated 24 May — last season.

The other is Coventry, bottom with no points, four defeats in four and no goals scored. They are the only two sides in the round still on zero. Tottenham host Aston Villa, nineteenth with one point and 0.25 goals per game.

When head-to-heads are old, the number says nothing

For Newcastle-Hull the archive holds exactly six meetings, all Premier League, but they run from September 2008 to January 2015. A record «across six meetings» looks like data until you check the date: those are two squads that no longer exist.

It isn't an isolated case. The six meetings between Everton and Ipswich span September 2000 to May 2025, and the six between Nottingham Forest and Coventry are all Championship fixtures, between 2011 and 2022. In the table, meanwhile, Hull City are third with eight points from four rounds and Newcastle tenth with five from three.

Arsenal and City, twelve points each

Arsenal lead with twelve points from four rounds and five consecutive Premier League wins — four in this campaign, one at the close of the last. They travel to Brighton, who have the highest scoring average of the round at 3.25 per game. Across the last six meetings, all league fixtures, Brighton have never beaten Arsenal: four wins for the visitors and two draws.

Manchester City are second, also on twelve points, and host Sunderland: five wins and a draw for City across the last six, all Premier League but spread from December 2015 to January 2026.

The other six, briefly

• Brentford-Chelsea (Fri 18, 21:00) — sixth against fifth, one point apart; three draws in the last six meetings, all league fixtures. It is the match where the three operators sit furthest apart: 3.18 margin points.
• Everton-Ipswich (Sat 19, 16:00) — six points each; Ipswich concede 2.5 goals per game, Everton 0.75.
• Nottingham Forest-Coventry (Sat 19, 18:30) — four Forest wins across the six meetings in the archive, which are all Championship fixtures.
• Bournemouth-Liverpool (Sun 20, 15:00) — five Liverpool wins in the last six, five league and one League Cup. It carries the lowest Betsson margin of the round, 5.18%, and is the only match where Netwin isn't alone at the front.
• Leeds-Crystal Palace (Sun 20, 15:00) — two wins each and two draws across the six meetings: the same level record as Newcastle-Hull.
• Fulham-Manchester United (Sun 20, 17:30) — Fulham are eighteenth with one point from four rounds, United thirteenth with four. Six meetings since February 2024, five Premier League and one FA Cup: three United wins, two for Fulham, one draw.

How to read these numbers

With four rounds played, goal averages are fragile: 3.25 per game is a true figure and a rate nobody sustains across a season. The form sequence looks at a team's most recent Premier League matches within the last 120 days, so it includes the tail of last season — where it does, we said so.

Head-to-head records come from the openfootball archive and cover every competition. On four of the ten matches the meetings quoted are not all Premier League: Tottenham-Aston Villa and Fulham-Manchester United carry one FA Cup tie each, Bournemouth-Liverpool one League Cup tie, and Nottingham Forest-Coventry are six out of six Championship. «The last six» means the six most recent the archive holds: there are 61 between Tottenham and Aston Villa, 40 between Fulham and Manchester United.

There are no line-ups, injuries or suspensions: we don't have them. The comparison across operators is on the odds page, standings and statistics in their own section.